Test for Aggregational Gaussianity (AG) in Petroleum Prices Returns

نویسندگان

چکیده

The work aims at investigating and establishing if Aggregational Gaussianity, (AG) is in the dynamics of petroleum prices. This AG aspect phenomenon which empirical distribution log-returns tends to normality (or as time scale over returns are calculated increases). In order achieve this, price series was tested for arch effects. addition, tests were carried out using qualitative (graphical) approach inferential approach, (involving statistical inference). study shows that presence effects does not guarantee existence AG. It also observed may suggest hence, AG, on other hand, tests) gives a better picture actual conclusion, otherwise) data set, with 99.97% rejection from by three tests-Kolmogorov-simonorv,Shapiro-Wilks, Anderson-darling. circumstance, there no evidence confirm discernible non-existence instability prices, since one cannot invoke an invariant property among factors, make economy unstable it oil- driven. However, highest percentage budget country based sales, this reveals unstable, diversification proposed. softwares used Eviews 10, Minitab 18, Spss 17, Easy-fit 5.6 professional, R 3.2.2.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Asian research journal of mathematics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2456-477X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.9734/arjom/2021/v17i130267